Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.021386 0.023161 0.025013 0.027092 0.029361 0.031764 0.034503
2025-08-24 0.018001 0.020493 0.023237 0.026490 0.030246 0.034457 0.039545
2025-08-31 0.015939 0.018824 0.022132 0.026216 0.031137 0.036895 0.044172
2025-09-07 0.014450 0.017580 0.021284 0.026011 0.031909 0.039059 0.048436
2025-09-14 0.013306 0.016601 0.020611 0.025876 0.032645 0.041108 0.052572
2025-09-21 0.012278 0.015661 0.019879 0.025556 0.033054 0.042687 0.056121
2025-09-28 0.011577 0.015069 0.019520 0.025652 0.033951 0.044890 0.060563
2025-10-05 0.010891 0.014440 0.019054 0.025547 0.034535 0.046664 0.064481
2025-10-12 0.010364 0.013979 0.018769 0.025647 0.035372 0.048790 0.068977
2025-10-19 0.009887 0.013552 0.018496 0.025727 0.036161 0.050862 0.073486
2025-10-26 0.009401 0.013080 0.018125 0.025635 0.036677 0.052546 0.077495
2025-11-02 0.009000 0.012703 0.017861 0.025669 0.037359 0.054482 0.081968
2025-11-09 0.008474 0.012135 0.017316 0.025295 0.037462 0.055637 0.085436
2025-11-16 0.007968 0.011570 0.016749 0.024857 0.037447 0.056615 0.088706
2025-11-23 0.007560 0.011128 0.016335 0.024620 0.037715 0.058028 0.092742
2025-11-30 0.007198 0.010734 0.015970 0.024432 0.038035 0.059523 0.096986
2025-12-07 0.006880 0.010390 0.015661 0.024306 0.038436 0.061154 0.101542
2025-12-14 0.006545 0.010001 0.015259 0.024008 0.038532 0.062277 0.105281
2025-12-21 0.006324 0.009779 0.015106 0.024097 0.039263 0.064484 0.111034
2025-12-28 0.006076 0.009501 0.014849 0.023999 0.039667 0.066147 0.115913
2026-01-04 0.005885 0.009306 0.014713 0.024092 0.040394 0.068397 0.121990
2026-01-11 0.005702 0.009114 0.014573 0.024168 0.041089 0.070619 0.128149
2026-01-18 0.005498 0.008878 0.014348 0.024082 0.041490 0.072331 0.133446